CNN Analyst Predicts Democratic Wins in NJ & VA Gubernatorial Races, Signaling Potential 2026 Midterm Advantage. Harry Enten's analysis suggests strong Democratic favoritism, offering insights into the 2026 midterms
CNN Analyst Predicts Democratic Wins in Key Gubernatorial Races, Signaling Potential 2026 Midterm Success. Harry Enten highlights New Jersey and Virginia governor races as major warning signs for Republicans, citing strong Democratic leads and historical predictive power
Virginia Governor's Race 2024: Spanberger Favored to Make History
Prediction markets give Abigail Spanberger (D) a 94% chance of winning the Virginia gubernatorial election, potentially making her the state's first female governor. With Governor Youngkin ineligible for reelection, Spanberger faces Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears (R) in a race analysts see as heavily favoring Democrats. This key election could foreshadow the 2026 midterms
New Jersey Governor's Race: Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) Favored to Win with 89% Chance Against Jack Ciattarelli (R)
Democrats Poised to Win New Jersey and Virginia Gubernatorial Races, Signaling Positive 2026 Midterms Outlook: CNN Analyst Harry Enten highlights strong Democratic leads in key gubernatorial races, exceeding 2021 polling numbers and suggesting a significant advantage heading into the 2026 midterms. Historically, these races accurately predict the following year's House results, with Democrats favored to win both New Jersey and Virginia
New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races: Key predictors of US House control? Since 1989, the party winning both states has gone on to win the US House six out of seven times. This strong correlation highlights the predictive power of these key races for the 2026 midterms
Democrats Outperforming Harris in 2024 Precursor Elections: Analysis shows Democrats exceeding VP Harris' 2024 campaign performance by 15 percentage points in this year's state legislative and federal special elections
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Democrat Catelin Drey's upset victory in an Iowa State Senate race, flipping a seat previously won by President Trump by 11 points, signals a potential shift in political power and breaks the GOP supermajority
H/T: Mediaite
Source: Original Article